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    多变量改进GMDH及其在国民经济中的应用

    Modified GMDH with multi-input variable generators and its application to our national economy

    • 摘要: 提出了一种计算量小、建立的模型精度高的非线性建模法——带有多变量组合发生器的多变量改进GMDH。用以建立我国工农业总产值和国民收入的动态模型、预测我国将来的经济发展和分析工农业总产值翻两番应采取的政策。

       

      Abstract: A modified GMDH (Group Method of Data Handling) with multi-input variablegenerators is proposed, in which all input variables of a system can be combined to acttogether on the output. It automatically selects not only optimal partial polynomials, butalso optimal terms in the polynomials. A more meaningful mathematical model and lesstime-consuming for computation can be resulted. Then the dynamic models of grossoutput value of industry-agriculture and national income using the modified GMDHare used to forecast the development of our national economy and to analyse the maineconomic policy of quadrupling.

       

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